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Emefiele reacts to Yari’s recession alarm

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The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday dismissed the alarm raised by Govenor of Zamfara State and chairman of the Nigeria Governors Forum (NGF) Abdulaziz Yari that the economy might relapse into recession.

Recall that Yari had on Monday during the opening of a three-day retreat for returning governors and governors-elect in Abuja warned of an impending recession by the mid-2020.

Besides, Yari pointed out that the governors have unanimously agreed that borrowing cannot be a reliable solution to the country’s economic problems.

However the CBN Deputy Governor Economic Policy Dr. Joseph Nnanna, who represented the CBN Governor Mr. Godwin Emefiele, dismissed the governors’ claims at the public presentation of the Spring 2019 edition of Regional Economic Outlook (REO) by International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Abuja.

He said: “We are making smooth progress towards growth and by end of 2019, all things being equal, we are going to likely have between 2.8% and 3% GDP growth rate.

Since the third quarter of 2016, when we started coming out of recession, we have embarked on tight monetary policy in all its ramifications.

‘’Right now, we are on the path of achieving our price stability goal of single digit inflation.

‘’Are we going to witness increased inflation or are we sliding back into recession? My answer is no. But is that adequate?

My answer is no. 3% GDP real growth rate is not enough for Nigeria where our population growth rate is 3.2%.

Per capita growth rate is still negative but definitely, we are not going through the era of 2016 when we had a recession. That won’t happen hopefully. Not under CBN watch.”

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The major problem afflicting the labour sector, Nnanna said, is more of underemployment than outright unemployment “because majority of Nigerians are employed one way or another but they are functioning below capacity.

They are engaged in the informal sector which is not performing optimally. We also have a huge infrastructure deficit.

Infrastructure is the major constrain to economic development and growth. This has to be repaired.”

He urged the governors and other policy makers to tackle the menace of non-inclusive growth because “it is inclusive growth that we need in Nigeria than any other thing.”

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